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"Don't Boo. Vote" — Barack Obama, 2016 Democratic Convention

5/20/2018

2 Comments

 
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Democracy can be gamed, but only to a point. Gerrymandering, voter suppression tactics, Russian hackers, special interests, dark money and, of course, the unholy high-tech union of Cambridge Analytica and Facebook may have combined to swing the 2016 Presidential election, but if everybody registered to vote had actually voted, the outcome could have been very different. 

"Who you vote for is secret, but whether you vote or not is public information," notes Nathanial Stinnett, a veteran campaign strategist and founder and executive director of the Environmental Voter Project (EVP). "There actually is a silent majority of environmentalists out there." According to a recent EVP study, nearly 16 million environmentalists skipped voting during the 2014 mid-terms. Quite literally, the 2018 elections are ours to lose. 

Once you get past the shock and indignation, the non-voters represent a giant opportunity, according to Stinnett. For the last three years EVP has methodically tested various ways to get registered non-voters to the polls. The early results are promising in terms of swinging tight elections, but Swinnett is playing a long game. The act of voting itself—it doesn't matter for whom—tells campaigns that you are worth their effort, he explains. There is simply no point to spend money on habitual non-voters.

Voting starts a virtuous feedback loop. Noting that you voted (public records), campaigns send out information for the next election cycle. These constant reminders to vote actually work, flipping registered-but-occasional voters into reliably regular voters. 

​"Our political life is besieged by anti-democratic distortions—big money, gerrymandering, nihilistically partisan right-wing media—that threaten to swallow the system whole. But they haven’t yet, quite. On climate change, as with so many other issues that bedevil us, votes are still the most powerful weapon we’ve got," writes Washington Monthly journalist Gilad Edelman.  

So let's vote.

RELATED: 
• 2017 Impact Report | Environmental Voter Project
• ​'Wag the Dog' Director Barry Levinson Sees Those Trump-Era Comparisons (Q&A) | Hollywood Reporter
2 Comments
Brian O'Donovan link
5/22/2018 08:54:47 am

"Who you vote for is secret, but whether you vote or not is public information,"
Is this really true? It will come as a surprise to many people!!!

I know that election workers know who has voted because they need this information to stop double-voting, but I am amazed to hear that the government would publish lists of who voted and who didn't.

Reply
J. A. Ginsburg link
5/22/2018 09:19:07 am

Of course it's true! And it should be. However, when the rules were set, no one could have imagined how AI and data analytics would make it possible to triangulate inferences from multiple datasets with remarkable accuracy. This is has become the bread & butter of modern campaigns. At its scariest, it's Cambridge Analytica using advanced psychographics to target individuals on facebook with information designed to push their buttons.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/metabrown/2015/12/28/voter-data-whats-public-whats-private/#1f3718571591

Read the Washington Monthly article (linked in the graphic and text). It's really thorough.

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